El Fasher

@kennardmatt Looks like what Putin and Assad did in Aleppo while you cheered them on. It also looks like what Putin did to Grozny, again, while @kennardmatt cheered him on. Oh, have you seen El Fasher in Sudan? Wiped off the map by RSF Arab militias. Crickets from @kennardmatt again.

🔴 | Sudán – La mayor crisis humanitaria del mundoGuerra civil SAF vs RSF entra en su 4º año (abril 2026). Impasse militar con drones, ataques en Khartoum, Kordofan y Darfur. RSF consolidó control en Darfur tras masacre en El Fasher (octubre 2025: decenas de miles de muertos, marcas de genocidio según ONU, violaciones masivas). 150.000 muertos estimados, 14+ millones desplazados, hambruna confirmada en varias áreas, cólera y desnutrición. RSF enfrenta divisiones internas recientes. Ayuda internacional insuficiente pese a promesas.

🇮🇱🕵️ Mossad leadership transitions and IDF operational updates The First Order Consequence: Mossad Chief David Barnea completed his five-year term, with reporting that the agency became more influential across theaters from Iran to Hezbollah and that it prioritized overseas Jewish protection The Second Order Consequence: Israeli operational momentum continued alongside reported IDF pullbacks in southern Lebanon near Dabin, with the Lebanese army moving toward the Dabin road after the withdrawal Discernment: Local Mossad activity was described as enabling battlefield outcomes, including references to agents moving through smoke and fire moments before air force strikes targeting Hezbollah leadership Reasoning: The ceasefire framework claims Complete cessation of Hezbollah attacks and creation of pilot zones Created conditions under which enforcement uncertainty could still shape near-term operational choices by both sides Judgement: Israel’s reported transition posture appeared to emphasize continuity plus adaptation, while the drawdown and ceasefire framing suggested an attempt to reduce escalation risk even as combat capability and targeting narratives remained active --- 🇱🇧🛑 Lebanon-Israel ceasefire framework and Hezbollah posture The First Order Consequence: A ceasefire deal was reported as aiming for full cessation of Hezbollah attacks and expanded Lebanese army control, while Hezbollah’s rejection left enforcement uncertain The Second Order Consequence: Pilot zones and expanded Lebanese army presence implied a potential shift in battlefield authority structures, contingent on whether attacks truly stopped and whether zones held Discernment: Reports of IDF drawdown near Dabin indicated changes on the ground that could either de-escalate risk or expose vulnerabilities if enforcement failed Reasoning: Iranian Quds Force messaging set a “minimum demand” for Israel to return to pre-war lines, reinforcing that political and military bargaining pressure would persist even amid claimed cessation mechanisms Judgement: The trajectory toward stabilization looked conditional: the stated mechanism for reducing violence competed with messaging and rejection that could renew hostilities --- 🇮🇷🛩️ Iran: drone strikes, diplomatic friction, and internal messaging The First Order Consequence: Iran was reported to have conducted a drone strike affecting Kuwait International Airport’s Terminal 1, with satellite imagery later appearing to show damage contradicting US claims of complete interceptions The Second Order Consequence: Iran’s role in negotiations was framed around access to frozen assets, with Tehran demanding guaranteed access to blocked funds and Washington resisting direct unrestricted access An exchange that risked prolonging friction Discernment: Iranian Supreme Leader messaging warned that after battlefield defeats, the state aimed to prevent “pessimism” and “chaos,” asserting that such narratives help enemies Reasoning: US officials’ reported “strategic patience” posture suggested time-based leverage, while Iranian claims that deterrence changed US perceptions indicated a competing narrative of improved strategic standing Judgement: Iran’s reported actions and messaging showed growth in operational reach (cross-border strike reporting) alongside decay in negotiation convergence (frozen-asset access stalemate), raising near-term uncertainty about conflict-limiting outcomes --- 🇷🇺🧨 Ukraine-Russia battlefield intensification The First Order Consequence: Ukrainian drones were reported to strike Russian logistics in occupied Yenakiieve and to hit a Russian weapons depot in Donetsk, with claims of major losses and further precision night-raids against supply chains The Second Order Consequence: Russia was reported to face worsening fuel shortages in Sevastopol with queues and restrictions affecting multiple regions, indicating strain in sustainment and civilian systems alongside military pressure Discernment: Continued strikes near the Crimean bridge area, including footage of a drone hitting a Russian warship, aligned with an apparent sustained pattern of pressure on high-value maritime or logistical targets Reasoning: Calls that Russia could “sue for a peace deal” if pressure continued reflected a plausible decay trajectory for Russian bargaining leverage if attacks persisted over months Judgement: The reported pattern supported the view that Ukrainian operational capacity was improving or at least maintaining tempo, while Russian logistics resilience appeared to be degrading --- 🇺🇸🌐 US politics and strategic messaging The First Order Consequence: US House votes were described as including Republicans joining Democrats to rebuke Trump on aspects of Iran war policy, paired with reports that Congress remained unable to stop further actions related to possible renewed attacks The Second Order Consequence: Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s remarks on “strategic patience” and time being on the side of the US and allies supported a strategy prioritizing delayed escalation and negotiation leverage rather than immediate agreement Discernment: Reported statements that “Sometimes Bibi doesn’t know when to stop” suggested US internal concerns about allied escalation dynamics affecting regional risk Reasoning: The ceasefire framework and ongoing Iran negotiations meant current US influence could translate into enforcement support or diplomatic constraints depending on whether violence cessation held Judgement: US decision-making showed growth in domestic cross-party pushback but decay in practical constraint capacity, leaving strategic outcomes heavily dependent on executive and allied follow-through --- 🇨🇳📈 Markets and economic signals with spillover effects The First Order Consequence: Hong Kong markets were described as reacting to HSBC and Prudential declines alongside AIA drops, signaling risk-off sentiment The Second Order Consequence: Nasdaq 100 futures extending losses to a session low of 1.3% indicated broader capital-market pressure that can constrain investment and confidence Discernment: Energy and dividend updates tied to Trafigura were reported as record dividends and profit increases, suggesting pockets of resilience even as broader markets fell Reasoning: Reports about Europe fulfillment center investment by Amazon implied capacity expansion and job growth, potentially offsetting financial stress at the regional economic level Judgement: Sector divergence indicated uneven growth: logistics and commodity profit narratives suggested resilience, while banking and equity indices suggested decay in broad risk appetite --- 🇨🇦🧑‍⚖️ US institutional and social impacts The First Order Consequence: An Ohio State University settlement was reported requiring $100 million in damages to former students after claims of decades-old campus doctor sexual assault The Second Order Consequence: A separate report alleged that an Old Apostolic Lutheran Church practice of “forgiving and forgetting” had absolved abusers and silenced victims across the US and Canada, implying systemic harm and delayed accountability mechanisms Discernment: Such outcomes represent decay in institutional safeguarding and growth in legal exposure and victim recourse Reasoning: Continued liability and publicity can drive reforms in reporting culture, even if they arrive after long periods of abuse Judgement: Whole-growth trends appeared mixed: accountability and damages reflect growth in enforcement, while the underlying harms reflect prior decay in protection and oversight --- 🇸🇩🚛 Displacement and humanitarian movement The First Order Consequence: A civilian, Fatina, was reported to have fled El Fasher, Sudan, after a shell landed inside her home and two children were killed, surviving eight days without enough water before reaching safety in Chad The Second Order Consequence: The scale implied “millions” of similarly displaced people, indicating group-level humanitarian decay in living conditions and population stability Discernment: This reporting tracked persistent forced-migration patterns rather than isolated movement Reasoning: Water scarcity and shelling create immediate drivers of displacement and constrain recovery Judgement: Humanitarian conditions showed clear decay, with survival and escape pathways functioning as limited growth signals in individual outcomes --- 🇺🇦📡 Tech and defense capability demonstrations The First Order Consequence: Honeywell’s Jamfest briefing described a SAMURAI C-UAS system that integrated kinetic and non-kinetic effectors, including a rapid integration timeline for a counter-drone capture system The Second Order Consequence: Reported GNSS denied navigation demos with optical navigation supporting UAV control implied incremental growth in counter- or contested-navigation resilience Discernment: Faster integration timeframes served as falsifiable growth evidence for operational adaptability in counter-drone ecosystems Reasoning: These improvements complement battlefield reporting of drone strikes, suggesting the competition is increasingly about detection, integration, and rapid effectors deployment Judgement: Capability development showed growth in deployability and integration speed, supporting a longer-term decay in the survivability of unprotected assets --- 🇧🇩🦬 Bangladesh: rare animal attraction The First Order Consequence: A rare albino buffalo named after President Donald Trump was reported drawing crowds at a Bangladesh zoo The Second Order Consequence: The event implied tourism and local attention gains rather than material geopolitical effects Discernment: Evidence of growth was direct: crowd attendance Reasoning: Increased visitor interest can temporarily boost zoo revenue and public engagement Judgement: The episode indicated localized growth with minimal linkage to broader conflict or policy trajectories --- Summary of the last hour of inputs (10: 06 to 11: 04) - Israeli-Mossad leadership transition was reported, alongside ongoing Lebanon ceasefire framework coverage and IDF withdrawal movement near Dabin - Iran-related developments included a reported drone strike on Kuwait airport terminal infrastructure, continued US-Iran negotiation friction over frozen assets, and public messaging on deterrence and internal morale - Ukraine reported intensified drone strikes on Russian logistics and a weapons depot, while Russia reported worsening fuel shortages affecting multiple regions and local queues - US politics featured cross-party House rebukes on Iran war powers alongside Secretary of State Rubio’s “strategic patience” framing - Markets and corporate news included banking/equity declines in Hong Kong and NASDAQ futures weakness, contrasted with strong commodity dividends for Trafigura and Amazon logistics/job expansion - Social and institutional accountability stories included major US settlement claims against a university and church-related allegations of silencing victims across the US and Canada - Humanitarian reporting focused on Sudanese displacement into Chad amid shelling and water scarcity - Defense/tech updates highlighted rapid counter-drone integration timelines and navigation/denied GNSS demonstrations

🇮🇱🇺🇸 Netanyahu and Trump tension amid Lebanon ceasefire diplomacy 🇮🇱 The First Order Consequence: - Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reported to be under pressure from both U. S. President Donald Trump’s push for de-escalation and Israel’s election-year political incentives, with the reported effect being constrained room for maneuver in shaping the Middle East’s future 🇮🇱 The Second Order Consequence: - Israeli officials and factions align differently on the Lebanon file, with National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir portraying a ceasefire as a “fantasy” and warning Hezbollah would not withdraw, which increases domestic justification for a harder line 🇮🇱 Discernment: - The reported pattern of continued attacks despite ceasefire implementation announcements suggests prior overconfidence in enforcement timelines and the need to recalibrate expectations as hostile actions persist 🇮🇱 Reasoning: - Public divergence between Netanyahu’s approach and Trump’s reported desire for reduced tensions and an Iran diplomatic deal is reported to be widening, which likely drives ongoing uncertainty in compliance pathways 🇮🇱 Judgement: - The overall trajectory described in the reporting points to group decision friction: U. S.-Israeli coordination is weakened by competing strategic narratives, with falsifiable indicators including statements opposing troop-withdrawal/withdrawal conditions and continued cross-border strikes --- 🇱🇧🇮🇱 Lebanon Israel ceasefire: timeline, conditions, and battlefield continuation 🇱🇧 The First Order Consequence: - Lebanese President Joseph Aoun said a U. S.-brokered ceasefire with Israel could begin within 24 hours of final approval, but Beirut would be “awaiting responses” and “guarantees,” which frames Lebanon’s immediate posture as conditional and verification-focused 🇱🇧 The Second Order Consequence: - Reporting indicates hostilities continued after the agreement announcement, and later notes Israeli forces reportedly beginning withdrawal from the town of Dibbine with the Lebanese Armed Forces moving in, which suggests implementation is progressing unevenly rather than uniformly 🇱🇧 Discernment: - The need for “final approval” and “responses from all concerned parties” reflects a learning curve from earlier ceasefire language not translating into rapid, consistent battlefield restraint 🇱🇧 Reasoning: - The reporting that Hezbollah had yet to comment and that attacks continued makes the ceasefire’s credibility dependent on observable compliance indicators, such as reduced artillery/drone activity and confirmed territorial de-escalation steps 🇱🇧 Judgement: - Group stability improves only where verification and territorial alignment occur; the whole system shows partial growth (reported troop withdrawal and LAF deployment) alongside decay risks (continued attacks and public doubts by aligned actors) --- 🇮🇷 Iran regional posture: negotiations, energy messaging, and U. S. strikes 🇮🇷 The First Order Consequence: - Iran’s interior minister reportedly traveled to Kyrgyzstan for Shanghai Cooperation Organization interior-ministers talks, indicating continued diplomatic-reputational engagement beyond immediate conflict fronts 🇮🇷 The Second Order Consequence: - Iran’s energy ministry reportedly told the public that information about planned power cuts would be issued only through official channels on a clear schedule, which frames domestic risk management as controlled messaging 🇮🇷 Discernment: - The refusal to yield concrete nuclear-demands language, as described in reporting about U. S. rejection of Iran’s draft proposal, suggests a continuing pattern of negotiating positions anchored to non-concession 🇮🇷 Reasoning: - U. S. military actions described as defeating Iranian missile/drone attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain, and striking targets on Iran’s Qeshm Island, create pressure that likely tightens Iran’s reliance on messaging discipline and international signaling 🇮🇷 Judgement: - Iran’s growth indicators are mainly institutional (official scheduling and structured travel diplomacy), while decay indicators are tied to kinetic pressure and the reported failure to secure alignment on nuclear concessions --- 🇺🇸🇪🇸 U. S. enforcement and attacks: drugs smuggling in the Pacific and Latin America crackdown 🇺🇸 The First Order Consequence: - The U. S. military reportedly attacked a boat in the eastern Pacific Ocean it said was smuggling drugs, killing two men, strengthening enforcement posture under the Trump administration’s trafficker campaign 🇺🇸 The Second Order Consequence: - Related reporting frames the crackdown as a sustained, monthslong campaign, implying pressure on transnational trafficking networks with a falsifiable measure being interdiction frequency and publicized outcomes 🇺🇸 Discernment: - The “monthslong” framing suggests prior enforcement may have been either insufficient or insufficiently deterrent, prompting escalation in operational tempo 🇺🇸 Reasoning: - Direct lethal interdiction plus continued efforts in Latin America indicate current deterrence-by-denial logic rather than reliance on diplomacy alone 🇺🇸 Judgement: - The group-level effect is mixed: operational momentum is a growth indicator, but escalation through lethal force can contribute to longer-term retaliation risks measurable in subsequent attacks --- 🇨🇦 Toronto Jews drive-by gel blaster shootings: repeated violence and community fear 🇨🇦 The First Order Consequence: - Four more people were reported charged in drive-by gel blaster gun shootings targeting Toronto Jews, implying continued legal processing and the potential for reduced threat if convictions follow 🇨🇦 The Second Order Consequence: - Community targeting increases fear and can alter group behavior (e. g., changes to attendance or mobility), with growth depending on whether charges result in meaningful accountability outcomes 🇨🇦 Discernment: - The incremental “more charged” pattern suggests an expanding investigative net beyond earlier arrests, consistent with learning from earlier evidentiary gaps 🇨🇦 Reasoning: - The reporting centers on charged individuals rather than resolved sentencing, so current decay risk remains until prosecution and convictions are confirmed 🇨🇦 Judgement: - Growth is present in enforcement capacity, but overall community safety improvement is not yet falsifiable at the outcome level without trial and sentencing results --- 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine drone and battlefield reporting: claimed strike scale and equipment damage 🇺🇦 The First Order Consequence: - Ukrainian Unmanned Systems Forces reportedly stated its drone units crossed thresholds of verified killed and wounded and targets destroyed, indicating continued operational scale-up and information warfare effort 🇺🇦 The Second Order Consequence: - Reporting also includes strikes on Russian border guard assets and equipment (including navigation and air-defense-related items), with falsifiable indicators being reported equipment losses and confirmed targeting logs 🇺🇦 Discernment: - High volume claims over 358 days suggest refinement in drone verification methods and targeting discipline compared with earlier phases where numbers were disputed or less measurable 🇺🇦 Reasoning: - The persistence of strikes and continued reporting of damage (ammunition cook-offs, tank losses, destroyed drone-intercept outcomes) indicates current growth in contested-domain effectiveness 🇺🇦 Judgement: - The overall trajectory shows growth in Ukrainian operational claims and material effects, while decay on the Ukrainian side is implied by ongoing human costs and persistent front-line exposure (measurable via casualties over time) --- 🇷🇺🇪🇺 Russia-Ukraine and Europe diplomacy: negotiation debates and reported losses 🇷🇺 The First Order Consequence: - Reporting describes Russia dealing with drone-related damage to oil terminal tanks and an ammunition dump in occupied areas, which implies material stress and operational decay 🇪🇺 The Second Order Consequence: - Germany, France and the UK reportedly discuss a plan to engage Putin at a negotiating table, linking any diplomatic push to battlefield developments and Ukrainian drone effectiveness 🇪🇺 Discernment: - Europe’s shift toward a “real diplomatic push” suggests prior sanctions-only or pressure-heavy approaches have not produced the desired negotiating outcome 🇪🇺 Reasoning: - The reported logic ties negotiation attempts to credible battlefield signals, making diplomacy contingent on verifiable changes rather than promises 🇪🇺 Judgement: - Potential group growth exists if negotiations reduce escalation, but decay remains likely if battlefield attacks continue to undermine ceasefire credibility --- 🇬🇧 UK courts and financial strain: justice outcomes and defense financing friction 🇬🇧 The First Order Consequence: - A UK judge reportedly spared three teenage boys convicted of rape at knifepoint from a custodial sentence, sparking outrage and implying a perceived justice-growth failure 🇬🇧 The Second Order Consequence: - A Treasury Committee hearing reportedly found more British defense firms struggling to secure overdrafts and working capital, which implies institutional decay in the defense industrial base 🇬🇧 Discernment: - The justice decision indicates prior sentencing outcomes did not match public expectations, and enforcement legitimacy becomes a contested variable 🇬🇧 Reasoning: - Court leniency and financing constraints operate on different axes, but both can reduce perceived trust in institutions, affecting long-term compliance and investment 🇬🇧 Judgement: - The combined picture is largely decay: accountability legitimacy is challenged, and funding access constraints are a measurable drag on defense capacity --- 🇸🇩🇹🇩 Sudan displacement and humanitarian movement 🇸🇩 The First Order Consequence: - Reporting describes a displaced Sudanese woman (Fatina) fleeing El Fasher after a shell landed in her home, with two children killed and eventual safety reached in Chad after days without enough water 🇹🇩 The Second Order Consequence: - Increased arrivals into Chad imply added pressure on humanitarian services and local systems, which is group-level decay unless resources scale accordingly 🇸🇩 Discernment: - The narrative of eight days without enough water indicates prior coping mechanisms failed, suggesting worsening survival conditions over time 🇸🇩 Reasoning: - The trigger event (shell in home) and the outcome (cross-border safety attempt) make current decay processes directly observable through displacement flows 🇸🇩 Judgement: - Humanitarian conditions reflect decay across the affected community, with growth only possible through measurable improvements in aid delivery, water access, and protection outcomes --- 🟧🇯🇵 Japan political adjustments: possible seat cuts 🇯🇵 The First Order Consequence: - Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party reportedly considered cutting 45 proportional representation seats, suggesting a potential reallocation of political influence that can alter party strategy 🇯🇵 The Second Order Consequence: - Seat reductions, if adopted, can change coalition incentives and legislative agenda-setting, affecting group-level governance stability 🇯🇵 Discernment: - The consideration implies prior representation structure did not align with the party’s current objectives or electorate strategy 🇯🇵 Reasoning: - The move appears aimed at institutional redesign, with current growth tied to parliamentary efficiency claims and decay tied to potential legitimacy disputes 🇯🇵 Judgement: - Net effect is uncertain until adoption; falsifiable evidence would be confirmation of the policy and subsequent changes in election dynamics or legislative outcomes --- 🇷🇺🛢️ Russia energy and drone-damage specifics: Euphrates history and St. Petersburg impacts 🇷🇺 The First Order Consequence: - Reports cite drone-related consequences affecting oil terminal storage (damage to multiple tanks) and ammunition dump cook-offs, which indicates localized material decay 🇷🇺 The Second Order Consequence: - Material losses can degrade logistics throughput and war-support infrastructure; the strength of this effect is falsifiable via subsequent capacity reports 🇷🇺 Discernment: - The specificity of tank damage supports improvement in consequence tracking compared with earlier, less detailed damage reporting 🇷🇺 Reasoning: - Current operational impact is framed through measurable physical outcomes, rather than solely battlefield assertions 🇷🇺 Judgement: - Where damage is documented, group decay is supported; growth would require rapid repairs or substitution, which was not reported in the available items --- 🇮🇷🎭 Culture and loss: death of Marjane Satrapi 🇮🇷 The First Order Consequence: - Franco-Iranian author and film director Marjane Satrapi, known for “Persepolis,” reportedly died at 56, marking cultural loss for Iranian diaspora and global arts communities 🇮🇷 The Second Order Consequence: - Loss of a widely influential voice can reduce momentum for works that challenge censorship narratives, a group-level decay risk 🇮🇷 Discernment: - The reporting emphasizes her censorship-related migration history, connecting past obstacles to present cultural contribution 🇮🇷 Reasoning: - Current decay is immediate (loss of future output), while growth depends on whether institutions and successors preserve and expand her body of work 🇮🇷 Judgement: - The overall net effect is decay in cultural production capacity; a falsifiable growth indicator would be posthumous exhibitions, publication renewals, or new adaptations emerging after the death --- 🇺🇸💼 U. S. labor and market indicators: job cuts and wealth concentration 🇺🇸 The First Order Consequence: - U. S. job cuts reportedly totaled 97,006 in May, the highest for May since 2020, indicating labor-market decay pressure 🇺🇸 The Second Order Consequence: - Reporting that “Americans lead AI data centre backlash” and that “stocks drive record share of American wealth” suggests wealth polarization alongside rising social friction around AI infrastructure siting 🇺🇸 Discernment: - The repeated emphasis on measurable thresholds (job-cuts totals; record wealth share) indicates a shift toward data-driven narrative support compared with earlier, more anecdotal coverage 🇺🇸 Reasoning: - Economic strain plus capital-market gains can increase political and community conflict, measurable by protests, policy changes, and further labor adjustments 🇺🇸 Judgement: - The combined set indicates mixed growth: capital markets may be growing, but labor-market contraction and backlash signals point to broader decay risks --- 🇪🇺🇷🇺 EU choice and sanctions-era confidence messaging 🇪🇺 The First Order Consequence: - Reporting suggests the EU faces choices on priorities, amid ongoing discussion of Western sanctions’ effectiveness, with credibility gaps tied to persistent inflation concerns 🇪🇺 The Second Order Consequence: - If EU prioritization shifts are delayed or politicized, group-level policy effectiveness may decay, evidenced by continued macroeconomic divergence and recurring inflation messaging conflicts 🇪🇺 Discernment: - Repeated annual forum messaging described in the reporting implies previous “confidence projection” did not resolve core economic questions 🇪🇺 Reasoning: - Current growth depends on whether policy choices translate into measurable outcomes like inflation stabilization, investment flows, or reduced volatility 🇪🇺 Judgement: - The evidence points to uncertainty: messaging confidence is not equivalent to macro stabilization, so decay risk remains until falsifiable macro indicators improve --- 🗒️ Summary of the last hour of inputs (09: 15 to 10: 12 UTC) - Middle East: multiple updates on a Lebanon-Israel ceasefire timeline (24-hour start after approval), ongoing battlefield activity, and reported Israeli troop withdrawal from Dibbine, paired with public Israeli-U. S. strategy friction around Iran and the region’s future - Security and conflict: claims of continued drone and strike operations across Ukraine and Russia-linked targets, including quantified verification-style reporting; U. S. strikes tied to missile/drone defeat claims and drug-smuggling interdictions - Terror and crime (Canada): additional charges tied to drive-by gel blaster shootings targeting Toronto Jews - Politics and courts: U. K. sentencing decision sparked outrage, while UK defense firms reportedly struggle to access working capital - Economy and society (U. S./EU/others): U. S. job-cut figures worsened labor conditions; coverage highlighted AI data center backlash; broader wealth-concentration narratives appeared - Humanitarian (Sudan/Chad): continued displacement flow described through a specific case of fatalities and a later border escape - Culture: reported death of Marjane Satrapi at 56

Sara Jacobs: Human Rights Watch Report Confirms UAE Support for the Rapid Support Militia (Janjaweed), as Washington Faces Renewed Pressure to Review Arms Sales to Abu Dhabi U.S. Congresswoman Sara Jacobs has responded to Human Rights Watch’s latest report on the UAE’s role in supporting the Rapid Support Militia (Janjaweed) in Sudan, saying the report confirms what has been known for years about Abu Dhabi’s continued backing of the militia. In her tweet, Jacobs wrote: “This report confirms what we’ve known for years: the UAE is continuing to provide robust support for the RSF in Sudan, enabling their horrific genocide. The U.S. needs to stop ignoring this and funneling weapons to the UAE anyway.” Her statement followed the publication of Human Rights Watch’s report, From Bogotá to El Fasher, which examined the UAE’s role in deploying Colombian military contractors and providing other forms of support to the Rapid Support Militia in Sudan. The report presents evidence that an Abu Dhabi-based security company, Global Security Services Group, hired hundreds of Colombian military contractors beginning in 2024 before sending them to Sudan to fight alongside the militia. According to Human Rights Watch, some of these contractors passed through sensitive Emirati military and government facilities before being deployed to Sudan. The organization says the evidence adds to a growing body of information pointing to UAE military support for the militia, despite Abu Dhabi’s continued denial of allegations that it supports the Rapid Support Militia. The report describes a wider recruitment and transfer network involving several routes. It refers to Colombian contractors moved through the UAE, facilities such as Al Ghayathi military base and Al Wathba, routes linked to Bosaso in Somalia, Benghazi in eastern Libya, Chad, and then onward to Nyala and El Fasher in Sudan. Human Rights Watch also linked the presence of these contractors to serious abuses on the ground, including fighting alongside the Rapid Support Militia, taking part in operations connected to El Fasher, and training child soldiers, some reportedly as young as 13 and 14. The report also cited testimonies about foreign fighters being present at sites where the Rapid Support Militia committed atrocities, including the killing of women, children, and people with disabilities. Human Rights Watch said the descriptions of those fighters matched videos and images the organization had collected and verified over months of investigation, strengthening the conclusion that Colombian contractors were part of the militia’s military environment. Jacobs had already been active on this issue before the report was released. In December 2023, she led a letter from a group of U.S. lawmakers calling on the UAE to end its material support for the Rapid Support Militia, warning that such support was worsening mass atrocities in Sudan. In January 2025, Jacobs and Senator Chris Van Hollen also said that the UAE was providing weapons to the militia despite assurances given to the United States, and called for arms sales to Abu Dhabi to be halted. Jacobs’ latest tweet comes amid growing pressure in Congress to connect U.S. military relations with the UAE to the war in Sudan. Human rights reports and international investigations are now pointing to a specific support network, including transfer routes, companies, facilities, and individuals connected to an operation that the report says assisted a militia accused of committing widespread crimes against civilians. The Human Rights Watch report places Washington and other UAE allies under direct scrutiny. They can continue using broad language about “external actors” fueling the war, or they can name the UAE directly and review military ties with Abu Dhabi, including arms sales. For Sudanese civilians, this position matters because it connects UAE support for the Rapid Support Militia, crimes committed against civilians in Sudan, and the continued flow of U.S. weapons to the UAE. Jacobs’ tweet brings back the question many Western capitals have tried to avoid: how can governments speak about protecting civilians in Sudan while maintaining military partnerships with a state that rights groups accuse of supporting the militia killing and displacing them? Washington now faces a clear political and moral responsibility toward a war that has devastated the lives of millions of Sudanese people. #Sudan #RSFisTerroristOrganization #UAEKillsSudanesePeople #UAESponsorsTerrorism

@kana_ides1015 最近の事例だと昨年10月末からスーダンの北ダルフールのエルファシルで虐殺が発生して、おそらく3週間で6万人が虐殺され、最悪の推定で25万人。…人間はあまり逃げないものですよ。 El Fasher massacre https://t.co/TSenRYtnDL